A Sign of The Times?

I always remember Terminal 2 at Heathrow on a Monday morning for having security queues the length of the terminal and then back round on itself and check-ins fuller than a Wagamama queue at Saturday lunchtime in St Albans. This Monday morning, 12 January, there were no queues - anywhere. Is this a sign of the times?

Travel Industry Being Hit?

I know BA announced good profits last quarter and both Ryan Air and EasyJet still talk bullishly, but this morning, for the second time in less than a few weeks, I have been shocked by the small numbers of people at Heathrow Airport. I wonder if anyone else has observed the same or am I just lucky on timing?

I have some acquaintances in the travel industry and there is no doubt that leisure travel is significantly down with one major travel firm I know experiencing a 40% drop in revenue although conversely their profits had held good.

If my experience is anything to go by, my 6.00am Alitalia Flight to Rome this morning had absolutely no queue at the check-in, no queue at security and less than 25 people on the flight, including the attendants. We got away on time and arrived in Rome early. I can't remember the last time that ever happened to me on a Monday morning - even the traffic heading into Heathrow was very light.

The Terminal 5 Effect?

After the fiasco of Terminal 5's pathetic start up last year, perhaps the collective easing at Terminals 1 & 2 is now visible - I doubt it. In my experience, with the lack of automatic check-ins for most continental airlines, the check-in counters at Alitalia are usually mobbed an hour before the flight by cackling people in expensive suits or ski outfits. So having packed hand luggage only and checked-in the night before, I arrived far too early and could have had an extra 30 minutes in bed.

However, Dunn's Law of Consequential Effect, would have come in to play. This Law states that if you believe that any one of the following are true 1) the traffic will be light, 2) check-ins not full or 3) security queues not long, then if you allow less than rush hour times to get to the airport, then automatically all 3 assumptions will be wrong resulting in lateness equalling the cube of your delayed start time. This has been verified by extensive results in live experiments causing several missed flights and journeys of great stress.

Empty Economy, Packed Business Class

No this is not the title of some fantastical Chinese film. One curious observation of this morning's flight, was that the small, cramped section of Business Class of just 3 rows at the front were full, while the rest of us 'nose-pickers' spread ourselves out luxuriously in Economy Class for the 2 hour flight. Quite how firms can justify Business Class fares costing at least treble the price of economy on such short trips is beyond me, particularly in a recession. But then again I have always believed this for short hops. It's just companies adding to the perks of short-hop managers who are probably finding any excuse to be on a plane in order to look busy while accruing their tiered points for Executive Club so they can have nice holidays and get promoted to Gold next year - maybe even that BA Amex Card they all dream of. And it's not only greedy Bankers, lawyers and Accenture employees at that game. I once flew to Dusseldorf when the ENTIRE Business Class section was taken up by Vodafone employees, several of whom turned up to the meeting I was attending, which was ironic as I was pitching on webconferencing to help reduce their travel costs.

It struck me, as we landed at Rome, that perhaps Alitalia might have broken even on the empty flight thanks to those generous people in Business Class paying well over the odds for their tickets.

Good News for Emissions, Bad News for The Economy

The boom in continental air travel thanks to the likes of Taxless citizens like Stelios, has helped fuel the economy while transporting all those who leveraged their equity to buy a second property at the end of some obscure route. It was all part of the 'cause and effect' spiral of the boom in the last 10 years. Empty planes actually do nothing to help reduce carbon emissions but they do impact the economy as airlines like Alitalia, already a perrenial flirter with bankruptcy, may well have to start reducing flights if they cannot fill enough seats to make money. While this may be a welcome relief to those who are concerned with carbon emissions, it does mean the economy must be suffering all round.

Still, if I get another line of seats to myself on the way back, I shan't be complaining.